The Vikings defense is competent at stopping the run (108.0 rushing yards allowed per game), but they don’t have the consistency of the Saints defense (91.3 rushing yards allowed per game). Not until we get to 3rd down and 5 yards to go do the conversion rates completely equalize. However, it is not the end-all, be-all since first- and second-down conversions are just as important in helping to sustain successful drives. The sample includes all plays of third-and-10 or longer from 2015 to 2018. So if we want to know a team's ability to covert 3rd downs, we're far better off looking at passing stats than previous 3rd down conversion rates.
RB; TE; QB; WR; Weeks. That being said, good teams keep themselves alive on third down by dialing up the right play and converting.For as efficient as the Saints offense has been all season, the Vikings have been even more so, on third downs at least. The Colts did so well on 1st and 2nd down, that they actually bested Miami in overall conversion rate 40% to 32%, which was mirrored in the final score: Colts 27 MIA 23. The official source for NFL news, video highlights, fantasy football, game-day coverage, schedules, stats, scores and more.
Saints 42.2%; Vikings 42.8%. The Cowboys were No. Meanwhile, its defense helped create 23 turnovers, which ranked 14th in the league. All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League.
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Cook has led the way for the Vikings to achieve the sixth best rushing game in the NFL.Meanwhile, New Orleans ranks 16th in the league in rushing, but their star running back Alvin Kamara has missed significant time with injury this season. Currently, the Saints are a 7.5-point home favorite over the Kirk Cousins-led Vikings.Money lines won’t tell the entire story in this matchup.
Teams stuck with a lower point differential, but having still maintained a solid overall record, can be considered “lucky” by winning incredibly close games that could have gone either way at the end (looking at you, Seattle Seahawks).New Orleans unsurprisingly holds the fifth-best point differential in the NFL, and the second-best in the NFC.
Minnesota was not far behind with the fifth best turnover differential in the league.Once again, Minnesota has quietly proven it can take care of the ball on offense, while still forcing errors on opposing defenses. If New Orleans can hold Cook to less than 100-yards, then it will limit play-action opportunities and force Cousins to make quicker decisions, which should bode well for the Saints. 1 in sacks last year with 59. While the Saints are slightly worse on third down when they have the ball (at 42.2%), they’ve got the Vikings beat on defense (34.8%). Minnesota’s third-down defense, usually a point of pride for coach Mike Zimmer, is substantially worse at getting off the field on third down (39.7%). Week 1; Week 2; Week 3; Week 4; Week 5; Week 6; Week 7; Week 8; Week 9; Week 10; Week 11; Week 12; Week 13; Week 14; Week 15; Week 16; ... Data Provided By the official stats partner of the NFL. And a prediction model is far better off using those passing stats (pass efficiency, interception rate, sack rate) and excluding to-date 3rd down percentage. Wild-card weekend is almost upon us, and the New Orleans Saints will host the Minnesota Vikings in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on Sunday in the playoffs’ opening round.
On 3rd and 1, teams are successful in 70% of attempts when running, but in only 58% of attempts when passing.
We will take a look at differentials for points and turnovers, rushing yards per game, and third-down conversion percentages between the two teams.Point differential is often a better indicator of team performance than overall record. This site is neither endorsed, nor sponsored by, nor affiliated with New Orleans Saints or NFL Properties LLC. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. Kamara has begun to look more like himself the last two weeks of the regular season, and could be a large factor in the wild-card game.Finally, the Saints defense has not given up a 100-yard rusher in 42 straight games.
From there, we can look at the conversion and turnover rates based on how aggressive a team was attacking the sticks on third down. Whichever sides’ defense can get off the field quickly and more often will hold the advantage.It’s important to contrast these conversion rates on offense against what the other team is allowing on defense. NFL footage © NFL Productions LLC.
The Vikings defense is competent at stopping the run (108.0 rushing yards allowed per game), but they don’t have the consistency of the Saints defense (91.3 rushing yards allowed per game).Third down conversion rates are important when looking at how well teams are able to keep the drive alive. A deeper dive into rankings of key stats throughout the season is necessary to unpack it.
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